6500 New Churches A Year Needed?
My good friend Rockie Mason at First Southern National Bank recently recommended this post at www.plantingchurches.org. Here is an excerpt:
According to census data, the population of the US currently is roughly 300 million. In 2050, they project that they the population will be 400 million. While many surveys suggest that 40% of Americans attend a church service regularly,* that number is largely inflated. According to David T. Olson’s book, The American Church in Crisis, in 2005 the number was closer to 17.5%. That seems more realistic to me. Multiple studies have also suggested that about 4,000 churches close their doors annually. So let’s play with those numbers a little. For easy math, let’s say we want to keep pace with where we are right now (roughly 20% in attendance). That would mean in the next 40 years we will have an additional 20 million people in church. Thus we’ll need a net gain of 100,000 new churches running about 200 people each. That’s about 2500 new churches annually. With 4000 churches a year closing their doors, that equates to 6500 new churches needed a year just to keep pace with population growth. According to the Christian Post, we are only adding about 500 new churches a year, 6000 short of what is needed to just keep pace with population growth. The moral of the story: We need to plant churches. Lots of them. It’s time to start praying for a Third Great Awakening in America.
These findings interest me. Where I live in Fayette County, we have over 300 churches–many of which have plenty of empty seats and a few that are building bigger buildings to create space. At first glance it would seem that new churches are not needed. This is not so. The author’s findings clearly demonstrate that planting more churches is not excessive or a wasteful use of resources.
Secondly, God plans to multiply disciples/churches in order to expand His Kingdom–not just maintain 20% church attendance. In addition, I wonder how many of these attend churches where the Bible is viewed as authoritative? In the churches where the Bible is still authoritative, how many “attending” are active participants in the Great Commission? My guess is that more churches are needed than even this study suggests.
Finally, if 6500 new churches would maintain current levels of church attendance, they will have to be able to accommodate 200 people weekly.** Planting a traditional church of this size will require a lot of time, energy, money (200 seat facilities are not cheap), and professional pastors. I pray that many traditional churches will accept the challenge to be “church planting churches.” There will be numerous challenges and sacrifices for those that do, but the need is indeed great.
The reality, however, is that the traditional church will not be able to do this alone. While more traditional churches are certainly needed, I believe non-traditional churches will be necessary for His Kingdom to expand. To be certain, they will need to be Bible-based, discipleship-focused churches that maintain little overhead costs in order to be easily multiplied. The good news is that God is aware of the challenges facing the Church in North America. I believe He has already began a simple/organic/house church movement in our nation as one solution to the multiple challenges addressed above.
While simple church has its own set of issues to overcome, it does do away with many of the obstacles that traditional churches encounter when planting Great Commission churches. Will you join me in praying that God would continue to empower and encourage those who seek to be a part of this movement? Perhaps God may lead you to join the movement as well.
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NOTES:
* “Attend church service regularly” or “regular church goer” are terms used in many studies and can have different meanings. Often times, this is defined as attending church two or more times a month. Some studies may raise that bar just a bit. A study done in 2000 found that that on any given weekend in our county (Fayette County, Kentucky), only 10% of the population will attend a church.
** A church of 200 people is twice the size of over half of all the churches in America. In the United States, 59% of all churches see 7-100 people attend weekly. -Hartford Institute for Religious Research
Important question….. “how many of these attend churches where the Bible is viewed as authoritative?”
Well said when you wrote, “God is aware of the challenges facing the Church in North America. I believe He has already began a simple/organic/house church movement in our nation as one solution to the multiple challenges addressed above.”